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February 20, 2008

 LinkedIn - Missing the obvious  

LinkedIn is apparently missing the most obvious and basic function of a social network: email based search.

I couldn't believe this when I realized it the other day.

I was looking for the resume of someone who contacted me online, only to find a handful of possible matches to people with the same name in the same industry in the same city. I figured I'd just enter in their email to get to the exact one.

Surprise: the keyword search field on LinkedIn don't scan email. ( though if someone puts their email in their bio, it will).
Surprise 2: there is no email search field for LinkedIn.

That's just silly, I thought.

So I contacted their customer service , and this was my response:

"You might opt to initiate a new Introduction through another user of our
business networking website.

It was our pleasure to help you with this issue. If you need greater
assistance with your future service issues, please feel free to respond
back to us. Thanks for being a valued member of the LinkedIn
community!"

Either LinkedIn outsources their customer service to India , or their staff is high.

I'm still in awe of this *extremely* simple omission.

Posted by Jonathan at 6:46 PM | Comments (2)

February 13, 2008

 US Primary Politics, Illustrated  

Note- This is a first draft and quick notes; I will edit this document properly as I have time.
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I decided to make a visual guide to the U.S. Primaries right now, as I constantly find myself explaining this to friends and family who don't keep up with Politics.



01-Politics-Circle.png
The political spectrum should really be a circle (to be exact, a 3d sphere, but lets keep things in 2d!)... Why? On a circle we see an endless array of polarized beliefs on the edges, with a lot of space for common ground and shared viewpoints in the middle.
02-Politics-Line.png
The United States has a very special political system. The dominance of two parties (a concept despised by the country's "Founding Fathers") has resulted in a narrow spectrum that fosters polarized ideals and divisiveness. With only two choices, the populace is essentially captive to aligning themselves with either group. The two groups tend to find 'hot button' issues such as the abortion debate or public services, and use them as rallying points. The party leaders create and push policy platforms that try to maximize the appeal to the polar ends of the spectrum, while drawing support from some more moderates.

This system fosters what is essentially a 'vicious cycle' as well- when one party gains legislative or executive power, it often enacts policy that is meant to undo the actions of the last party and re-centralize the government to favor their party. In every election, power & policy shift from one extreme to the other. The term "Partisan Politics" refers to fervent and overzealous support of these polarized platform ideals.


03-Politics-Base.png
Because the United States has this extremely polarized political system, each party can count on a group of voters to always vote 'The Party Line', regardless of Candidate. I've identified those people in this diagram.

Important to note about this diagram is the following:
1) There are small ultra-polarized groups that may jump to independent/small party candidates with more hardline views. We often see 'conservatives' push for a Evangelical candidate (someone who runs on Christian ideals and tries to fuse Church with State), and 'liberals' push for a Socialist candidate.
2) These circles don't represent the registered base of democrats/republicans.. just those people who will always vote on the party lines.
3) There is a huge void in the middle... this is where elections are won & lost. These 'swing' voters are the independents/unaffiliateds, and those who have declared affiliation to one party but may vote with or switch to the other party depending on the candidate.



04-Politics-Plotted.png
In this diagram I've plotted each of the candidate's recent appeal ( mid January 2008 - platform, policy, rhetoric, charisma) against voters who always vote the party line. This isn't a mapping of popularity or support - merely a mapping of where on this spectrum the candidates are pulling their appeal from. As we grow closer to election day and narrow the primary candidates into general-election candidates, the chart will change into two large circles.

There are two incredibly important things to note in this diagram in relation to the current frontrunners:
1) Obama and McCain show strong appeal to Independent voters... this is appeal that transcends their party's dedictaed voters
2) Clinton and Huckabee have strong appeal within their party base, but don't necessarily appeal to independents and swings.

This is important because we often hear media pundits - and losing candidates - talking about appealing to the 'Party Base'.

The 'Party Base' is a weird term. There are many competing definitions for it... Some consider the base to the the core population of the Party, others consider it to be the group that consistently identifies with and votes for the Party - regardless of candidate. I am using the latter definition- The 'Party Base' are those Democrats & Republicans who will always vote for their party's candidate, regardless of who runs.

With that in mind, Primary elections are not Federal elections - they're party elections. Since they're party based, the state party delegations/leadership decide if they will be closed (only party members may vote) or open (anyone can vote, but must join the party at the polling place). This varies from state to state.

Appealing to the Party Base is extremely important in closed primaries, because they make up a larger percentage of the eligible voters.. and consequently have greater influence on the nomination process.

In open primaries, the electorate is free to choose which party to vote with... which decreases the importance of the party base, increases the importance of the swing voters, and gives a much better understanding of how the candidates would fare against one another in a General election.

Recent primary results and exit polls have resulted in these notable facts:
• Obama has been gaining ground with the party base which typically went for Clinton, the establishment candidate. Clinton has not been converting the independents or swings.
• McCain has been gaining ground with the party base that typically went for Evangelicals ( Romney, Huckabee ). McCain has ben converting independents and swings.
• According to CNNs 2008-02-12 exit polls
- - Independents have been going for Obama and McCain at significantly higher numbers than Clinton or Huckabee
- - Obama has been wooing more independents than McCain
- - Obama has gotten more Republicans to switch and vote for him, than McCain has convinced Democrats to switch.

What is particularly important to note here is the voter appeal in Obama and McCain
• both are getting their parties behind them
• both are doing stellar with the independents/swing votes
• both are convincing voters to switch sides, when possible/measurable

If you look at the Obama and McCain circles, they're the largest areas for their parties -- despite election results showing their races to be fairly tight. This is because primary voting is often limited to the registered party members / loyalist base. The size of these circles doesn't mean that they are leading their party -- it simply covers their appeal among party and non-party members. The party races are tight, because Obama and McCain both appeal heavily to non-party voters who are more moderate in beliefs, and are fighting for the party support among polarized party members who are more extreme.

Based on voter appeal alone, we can draw these conclusions ( which match with exit polls ):
Obama vs McCain will be a tight race
Clinton vs McCain or Obama vs Huckabee will likely have a wide margin on the win
Clinton vs Huckabee will be a polarizing election, with many dissatisfied independents.

In terms of a Clinton vs Huckabee[/Romney] lineup... this is probably what NYC Mayor Michael Bloomberg has been silently waiting out, and would enter the race to easily capitalize on as being a moderate.

Some notes on primary elections...
• When primaries are 'open', Obama & McCain have a clear advantage.
• The battles right now are for the party base, and convincing them to end decades of heavily partisan politics to search for some middle ground that offers compromise and unity. The party bases are very reluctant to let go (but moving in that direction) - they are used to voting for a polarizing candidate who advocates [often unattainable] ideals and delivers on few promises; they are having trouble voting for attainable and likely-deliverable goals such as those advocated by Obama and McCain.

Posted by Jonathan at 4:12 AM | Comments (0)

February 8, 2008

 Yahoo launches Live! - buggy version of Mogulus  

From yliveblog.com

For viewers: How is Y! Live different from other online video sites? That’s simple: it’s live. What you’re watching, right now, is what other people are watching, right now. We wanted to create an experience that takes us back to live television, where things are happening now, in real time.

Different from other online sites? Sorry - Stickam has been doing liveblogging for a while, and Mogulus has been offering a full-fledged production studio for almost a year now.

Posted by Jonathan at 12:54 PM | Comments (0)

February 1, 2008

 Breakfast of Champions  

I've discovered the most delicious breakfast ever... if only I could find somewhere in NYC to serve it.

The Drink - Cortado
I've been making these for years at home, a recent trip to a local coffeehouse gave me the name. A Cortado is halfway between a macchiato ( espresso with a splash of steamed milk ) and a latte ( espresso in 2-4 times the volume of steamed milk - it's somewhere between a 1:1 and 1:5 ratio of espresso to steamed milk. At home, I usually make it with 2 double ristrettos ( ~3oz of espresso ) and 3oz of milk; the *wonderful* Oslo Coffee shops in williamsburg make it with 1 ristretto in a half-size latte cup. It's not on the official menu, but all the baristas know how to make it.

From wikipedia:

A cortado is an espresso "cut" (from the Spanish and Portuguese cortar) with a small amount of warm milk to reduce the acidity. The ratio of milk is between 1:1 - 1:2, and the milk is added after the espresso. The steamed milk hasn't much foam, but many baristas make some micro foam to make latte art. It is popular in both Spain and Portugal, as well as throughout Latin America, where it is drunk in the afternoon.


The Pastry - Pastéis de Nata
pasteis.jpg
These are like little cupcakes from heaven. My mother was born in the Azores, so I unfortunately grew up around the less-than-pleasant cuisines of Portugal. I often say that Portugal is responsible for some of the worst looking, smelling, and tasting foods in all of the world... and that is all forgiven by the invention of these little treasures. Pastéis de Nata are little egg-custard tarts that are baked in a puff-pastry shell. Imagine a créme brulée in an tasty & edible dish. Now imagine a plate of them sitting on your table.

I only know of a single restaurant in all of New York City that makes Pasteis de Nata. They always sell out. Take home? Not an option.

Posted by Jonathan at 12:28 PM | Comments (0)